THE 100-YR FREQUENCY EARTHQUAKE

Structures are commonly designed to withstand an earthquake of certain magnitude, say, the 50-yr earthquake, i.e., that of magnitude recurring once every 50 years. In 1967, I attended a one-week short course taught by the Late Prof. Alfonso Rico Rodriguez, a professional of great stature and experience. Professor Rico had headed a large government agency responsible for a large number of highway bridges in Mexico.

Professor Rico told his listeners that his agency had experienced a 100-yr earthquake during his tenure, and three bridges, out of more than 1000 total, had sustained structural damage. After the earthquake, he gathered his staff for a fact-finding meeting. The staff was prepared to answer questions about the failed bridges. Instead, Prof. Rico reminded his staff that since the earthquake was a 100-yr earthquake, and the design was for a 50-yr earthquake, theoretically, ALL the bridges should have failed. Thus, he wanted to find out why only three bridges had failed.

 

Old bridge on Pirai river, Santa Cruz, Bolivia.