Flood discharges (m3 s-1) calculated for Cottonwood Creek - Arroyo Alamar by rainfall-runoff modeling

 Location \Return period 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 500 1000
 1. Upstream of Morena Dam   309  536  663  91310691294141316331799
 2. Downstream of Morena Dam     34    49    82  129  162  207  230  277  314
 3. Usptream of Barrett Dam   274  446  596  795  9411120121813871509
 4. Downstream of Barrett Dam     36    70   84  140  180  220  321  501  635
 5. Usptream of project reach   245  484  620  85910581227133015031623
 6. Downstream of project reach   277  529  683  92811351308141715961722
 7. Contribution of reach 40117     32    45    63    69    77    81    87    93    99
 8. Adopted design discharge   280  530  680  93011401310142016001720



RESULTS


  • The following runs were accomplished:

    • Series A  

      Flood discharges for 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, 200-, 500- and 1000-yr return periods, specifying the maximum average monthly level as initial condition in Morena and Barrett Dams.

    • Series B 

      Same as above, but assuming zero infiltration in the channelization project reach, in order to evaluate the impact of a possible concrete channel upon the aquifer recharge.

  • The results of Series A are shown above. The difference between lines 6 and 5, shown in line 7, corresponds to the local contribution of the channelization project reach. Line 8 shows the adopted flood discharge.

  • The results of Series B are shown below. From this table it is concluded that the mean annual discharge, corresponding to the 2-yr return period, feeds 0.459 hm3 to the groundwater table along the channelization reach. This constitutes 4.6 percent of the flood runoff volume. The concrete channel would keep this volume in the surface runoff, and would increase the peak discharge by 6 m3/s.

  • In contrast to the volume drained during the flood, the mean annual runoff of Arroyo Alamar has been calculated as 65.416 hm3. Likewise, the volume of water extracted annually from the aquifer of the Tijuana river basin, including Alamar Creek, is 13.8 hm3.

  • Assuming for the mean annual runoff a conservative value of infiltration volume equal to that of the mean annual flood (2-yr return period), the postulated channelization would avoid that an annual volume equal to [(4.6)(65.416)/100] = 3.01 hm3 will feed the ground water.

  • This quantity represents [(3.01/13.8) 100] = 22 percent of the groundwater resources of all the Tijuana region, which is a substantial quantity.



Flood discharges (m3 s-1) calculated for Arroyo Alamar with and without infiltration in the channelization project reach

 Return period 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 500 1000
 1. Discharge without infiltration (m3s-1)   283  537  692  93811461319142916091735
 2. Discharge with infiltration (m3s-1)   277  529  683  92811351308141715961722
 3. Difference (m3s-1)     6    8    9    10    11    11    12    13    13
 4. Runoff volume without infiltration (hm3) 9.982 20.291 27.279 40.338 52.007 70.083 83.003 106.510 127.793
 5. Runoff volume with infiltration (hm3)9.52319.69226.61339.54551.08768.972 81.805104.680125.709
 6. Difference in runoff volume (hm3)0.4590.5990.6570.7930.9201.111 1.1981.8302.084
 7. Percentage [(6/4)x100] 4.602.952.411.971.771.591.441.721.63



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